WEALTH AND
FERTILITY
For the whole
of the past century an inverse comparison between human fertility and economic
development has been determined. This indicates
that as a country got wealthy, the average number of babies born to each
woman got reduced. While in the developing countries women often have nine
children, the rate fell as low as 1.2 in
most European nations such as Italy, which is so below the replacement rate.
with such a low rate has atmost negative impacts: the population will fall in
the long term, and a growing number of old people will have to be supported by
a shrinking number of young also revealed as juvenile deliquency. But a recent
study by researchers from Pennsylvania University suggests that this pattern
may be changing. They related countries’ fertility rates to their human
development index (HDI), a figure with a maximum value of 1.0, which assesses
life expectancy, average income and education level. Over 20 countries now have
an HDI of more than 0.9, and in a majority of these the fertility rate has
started to increase, and in some is approaching two children per woman.
Although there are exceptions such as Japan, it appears that ever higher levels
of wealth and education eventually translate into a desire for more children.
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